Zengbao Zhao

Km-scale solar irradiance ensemble forecasting with generative deep learning

2026 · npj Artificial Intelligence

Rapid variability and intermittency in surface shortwave downward irradiance (SWDR) impact photovoltaic (PV) generation, challenging power system stability. Yet, existing SWDR prediction methods often cannot simultaneously deliver high-resolution, wide-area, and well-calibrated probabilistic prediction, limiting their …