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Feedback Long Short-Term Memory:A Long Short-Term MemoryBased Framework for Multivariate Time Series Prediction in Chaotic Systems

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Abstract

The prediction of chaotic time series is essential for understanding highly nonlinear and sensitive systems, with the Lorenz system serving as a standard benchmark due to its intricate and non-periodic dynamics. Classical forecasting approaches often struggle to capture such irregularities, motivating a shift toward deep learning–based strategies. In this study, we develop two hybrid models—Feedback Long Short-Term Memory (FB-LSTM) and Feedback Variational Stacked LSTM (FBVS-LSTM), specifically designed for multivariate prediction of the Lorenz system. By embedding feedback structures into LSTM networks, the proposed methods deliver enhanced short-term prediction performance without substantial computational costs. Comparative simulations indicate that our frameworks surpass traditional RNNs and baseline LSTM models, achieving prediction accuracies up to 94%. These findings indicate that feedback-enhanced architectures offer effective and practical tools for forecasting chaotic systems, with potential applications in both scientific research and engineering practice.

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DOI
10.30473/coam.2025.72730.1312
OpenAlex
W7130832976
Document type
article
Language
EN
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