preprint
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Instruction Tuning Chronologically Consistent Language Models
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Abstract
We introduce a family of chronologically consistent, instruction-tuned large language models to eliminate lookahead bias. Each model is trained only on data available before a clearly defined knowledge-cutoff date, ensuring strict temporal separation from any post-cutoff data. The resulting framework offers (i) a simple, conversational chat interface, (ii) fully open, fixed model weights that guarantee replicability, and (iii) a conservative lower bound on forecast accuracy, isolating the share of predictability that survives once training leakage is removed. Together, these features provide researchers with an easy-to-use generative AI tool useful for a wide range of prediction tasks that is free of lookahead bias.
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Publication details
- DOI
- 10.48550/arxiv.2510.11677
- OpenAlex
- W4416600989
- Document type
- preprint
- Language
- EN
- Source
- arXiv (Cornell University)
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