Niki Pfeifer

Abductive, Causal, and Counterfactual Conditionals Under Incomplete Probabilistic Knowledge

2017 · arXiv (Cornell University)

We study abductive, causal, and non-causal conditionals in indicative and counterfactual formulations using probabilistic truth table tasks under incomplete probabilistic knowledge (N = 80). We frame the task as a probability-logical inference problem. The most …

Probability propagation rules for Aristotelian syllogisms

2020 · arXiv (Cornell University)

We present a coherence-based probability semantics and probability propagation rules for (categorical) Aristotelian syllogisms. For framing the Aristotelian syllogisms as probabilistic inferences, we interpret basic syllogistic sentence types A, E, I, O by suitable precise …