Autonomous Behavior Selection For Self-driving Cars Using Probabilistic Logic Factored Markov Decision Processes

We propose probabilistic logic factored Markov decision processes (PL-fMDPs) as a behavior selection scheme for self-driving cars. Probabilistic logic combines logic programming with probability theory to achieve clear, rule-based knowledge descriptions of multivariate probability distributions, and a flexible mixture of deductive and probabilistic inferences. Factored Markov decision processes (fMDPs) are widely used to generate reward-optimal action policies for stochastic sequential decision problems. For evaluation, we developed a simulated self-driving car with reliable modules for behavior selection, perception, and control. The behavior selection module is composed of a two-level structure of four action policies obtained from PL-fMDPs. Three main tests were conducted focused on the selection of the appropriate actions in specific driving scenarios, and the overtaking of static obstacle vehicles and dynamic obstacle vehicles. We performed 520 repetitions of these tests. The self-driving car completed its task without collisions in 99.2% of the repetitions. Results show the suitability of the overall self-driving strategy and PL-fMDPs to construct safe action policies for self-driving cars.